After the publication of TEM PSHA2015. Updated version to the TEM PSHA2019, we considered updated seismogenic structure database, newly identified structure with 3D geometry, an earthquake catalog to 2016, state-of-the-art seismic models,site amplification factors.
The ETAS (Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence) model aims to forecast the aftershocks from a large mainshock in real-timereduce its effectiveness.